NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS MIL
Points 118.7 111.0
Total Points   229.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 52.3
Points From 3-Pointers 48.7 44.2
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.5
Shooting BOS MIL
Field Goals Made 43.3 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.6 91.4
Field Goal % 47.3% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 26.1
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 16.2 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 42.7 40.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 18.5
Free Throw % 78.9% 78.4%
Ball Control BOS MIL
Rebounds 52.6 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 41.0 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.1
Turnovers 9.2 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.5
Steals 5.9 4.9
Fouls 14.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS MIL
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 101.6
% of Possessions with BOS MIL
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 37.5% 35.3%
Player Fouled 15.6% 14.6%
Turnover 9.1% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS MIL
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 21.3%