NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS CLE
Points 114.4 103.3
Total Points   217.7
Points From 2-Pointers 51.4 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 47.6 38.6
Points From Free Throws 15.4 12.0
Shooting BOS CLE
Field Goals Made 41.6 39.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 89.7
Field Goal % 47.7% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.9 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 41.0 37.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.4 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 15.8
Free Throw % 80.1% 75.9%
Ball Control BOS CLE
Rebounds 52.0 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 40.6 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.2
Turnovers 10.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.1
Steals 6.3 5.3
Fouls 14.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS CLE
Total Possessions 97.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 98.2
% of Possessions with BOS CLE
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 37.1% 33.5%
Player Fouled 15.1% 14.8%
Turnover 10.9% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS CLE
Shot Blocked 3.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 21.6%