NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS ATL
Points 127.8 109.8
Total Points   237.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.5 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 53.9 41.9
Points From Free Throws 16.3 14.3
Shooting BOS ATL
Field Goals Made 46.8 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 95.6
Field Goal % 51.8% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.2 56.0
2 Point Shooting % 61.0% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 18.0 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 43.1 39.6
3 Point Shooting % 41.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 18.3
Free Throw % 79.1% 78.3%
Ball Control BOS ATL
Rebounds 53.2 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 41.7 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 14.4
Turnovers 10.8 10.7
Blocked Shots 6.8 3.3
Steals 6.3 5.3
Fouls 14.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS ATL
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 105.6
% of Possessions with BOS ATL
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 37.6% 33.3%
Player Fouled 15.2% 14.4%
Turnover 10.6% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS ATL
Shot Blocked 3.6% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 25.7%