NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS UTA
Points 128.0 110.0
Total Points   238.0
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 57.0 40.5
Points From Free Throws 15.9 15.3
Shooting BOS UTA
Field Goals Made 46.6 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 92.6 94.0
Field Goal % 50.3% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 19.0 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 44.9 38.8
3 Point Shooting % 42.3% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 15.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 18.3
Free Throw % 79.1% 83.7%
Ball Control BOS UTA
Rebounds 51.3 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 14.7
Turnovers 9.5 12.4
Blocked Shots 8.2 4.1
Steals 7.1 4.7
Fouls 14.4 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS UTA
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 103.8
% of Possessions with BOS UTA
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 38.9% 32.5%
Player Fouled 14.8% 14.2%
Turnover 9.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 4.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS UTA
Shot Blocked 4.5% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 27.4%