NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS IND
Points 120.5 112.1
Total Points   232.6
Points From 2-Pointers 61.5 63.4
Points From 3-Pointers 40.2 36.4
Points From Free Throws 18.8 12.3
Shooting BOS IND
Field Goals Made 44.2 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 93.7
Field Goal % 49.9% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.8 31.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 59.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.8 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 15.8
Free Throw % 80.1% 77.5%
Ball Control BOS IND
Rebounds 51.4 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 39.1 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 12.0
Turnovers 10.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 6.0 4.0
Steals 5.6 5.2
Fouls 14.3 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS IND
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 102.2
% of Possessions with BOS IND
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.6% 14.2%
Turnover 10.5% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS IND
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 23.5%