NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS NO
Points 115.2 106.3
Total Points   221.5
Points From 2-Pointers 48.4 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 51.5 36.7
Points From Free Throws 15.3 13.5
Shooting BOS NO
Field Goals Made 41.4 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 91.1
Field Goal % 47.2% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.2 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 56.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 17.2 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 45.8 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 15.3 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 17.3
Free Throw % 79.2% 77.9%
Ball Control BOS NO
Rebounds 51.1 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.9 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.2
Turnovers 11.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 6.1 3.4
Steals 5.5 5.9
Fouls 13.9 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS NO
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 100.5
% of Possessions with BOS NO
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 41.0% 30.2%
Player Fouled 15.5% 14.1%
Turnover 11.1% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS NO
Shot Blocked 3.9% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 23.3%