NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS NO
Points 115.7 108.0
Total Points   223.7
Points From 2-Pointers 48.6 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 52.0 38.0
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.8
Shooting BOS NO
Field Goals Made 41.6 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 91.5
Field Goal % 47.3% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 24.3 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 56.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 17.3 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 46.0 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 17.8
Free Throw % 79.1% 77.6%
Ball Control BOS NO
Rebounds 50.9 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.5
Turnovers 11.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.5
Steals 5.6 6.1
Fouls 14.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS NO
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 101.2
% of Possessions with BOS NO
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 41.1% 30.4%
Player Fouled 15.3% 14.1%
Turnover 11.2% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS NO
Shot Blocked 3.9% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 23.9%