NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS NO
Points 115.0 106.1
Total Points   221.1
Points From 2-Pointers 48.5 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 51.2 36.8
Points From Free Throws 15.3 13.3
Shooting BOS NO
Field Goals Made 41.3 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 91.1
Field Goal % 47.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.3 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 56.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 17.1 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 45.5 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 17.0
Free Throw % 79.3% 77.9%
Ball Control BOS NO
Rebounds 51.2 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 40.0 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.1
Turnovers 11.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.4
Steals 5.5 6.0
Fouls 13.8 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS NO
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 98.8 100.3
% of Possessions with BOS NO
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 40.8% 30.5%
Player Fouled 15.5% 14.0%
Turnover 11.3% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS NO
Shot Blocked 3.8% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 23.2%