NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS PHO
Points 117.3 108.9
Total Points   226.2
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 49.7 38.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.4
Shooting BOS PHO
Field Goals Made 42.5 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 89.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.3 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 16.6 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 43.0 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 17.9
Free Throw % 79.5% 80.9%
Ball Control BOS PHO
Rebounds 51.0 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 11.8
Turnovers 9.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.0
Steals 6.9 5.3
Fouls 15.0 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS PHO
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 99.5
% of Possessions with BOS PHO
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 37.6% 30.2%
Player Fouled 15.0% 15.1%
Turnover 10.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS PHO
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 23.7%