NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS POR
Points 121.6 101.4
Total Points   223.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.2 52.9
Points From 3-Pointers 44.6 35.5
Points From Free Throws 17.8 13.0
Shooting BOS POR
Field Goals Made 44.5 38.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 94.5
Field Goal % 50.8% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 59.5
2 Point Shooting % 62.0% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 39.9 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 17.8 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 16.4
Free Throw % 79.1% 79.4%
Ball Control BOS POR
Rebounds 53.2 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 41.2 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 15.6
Turnovers 10.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 7.7 3.3
Steals 7.3 5.4
Fouls 13.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS POR
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 103.4
% of Possessions with BOS POR
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 29.4%
Player Fouled 16.6% 13.5%
Turnover 10.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS POR
Shot Blocked 3.6% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 27.5%