NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS GS
Points 119.9 111.9
Total Points   231.8
Points From 2-Pointers 51.6 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 52.4 45.8
Points From Free Throws 15.9 12.4
Shooting BOS GS
Field Goals Made 43.3 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 91.5 95.3
Field Goal % 47.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 46.7 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 17.5 15.3
3 Pointers Attempted 44.9 40.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 15.9 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 15.9
Free Throw % 79.1% 77.7%
Ball Control BOS GS
Rebounds 52.2 52.4
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 14.6
Turnovers 10.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 6.2 3.6
Steals 6.4 5.1
Fouls 13.4 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS GS
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 104.2
% of Possessions with BOS GS
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 39.0% 34.6%
Player Fouled 15.4% 13.2%
Turnover 10.0% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS GS
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 26.8%