NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS WAS
Points 127.1 106.3
Total Points   233.4
Points From 2-Pointers 64.0 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 45.1 38.0
Points From Free Throws 18.0 12.3
Shooting BOS WAS
Field Goals Made 47.0 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 92.2 94.6
Field Goal % 51.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 32.0 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.7% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 39.4 37.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 18.0 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 16.0
Free Throw % 79.0% 76.8%
Ball Control BOS WAS
Rebounds 57.3 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 44.1 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 10.7
Turnovers 10.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 7.7 3.6
Steals 6.7 5.4
Fouls 14.0 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS WAS
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 105.8 102.6
% of Possessions with BOS WAS
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 32.1%
Player Fouled 15.9% 13.5%
Turnover 10.3% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS WAS
Shot Blocked 3.9% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 19.6%