NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MIL
Points 108.1 111.2
Total Points   219.3
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 53.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 39.2
Points From Free Throws 20.3 18.6
Shooting LAC MIL
Field Goals Made 37.0 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 87.7
Field Goal % 42.1% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 50.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 37.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 20.3 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 25.2
Free Throw % 79.8% 73.6%
Ball Control LAC MIL
Rebounds 51.2 53.7
Rebounds - Defensive 41.4 43.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.1
Turnovers 13.0 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.5
Steals 6.3 6.1
Fouls 20.7 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MIL
Total Possessions 105.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 102.7
% of Possessions with LAC MIL
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 31.9%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.5%
Turnover 12.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MIL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.3% 19.6%