NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MIL
Points 115.1 115.4
Total Points   230.5
Points From 2-Pointers 59.2 54.6
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 42.7
Points From Free Throws 18.6 18.2
Shooting LAC MIL
Field Goals Made 42.1 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 87.2
Field Goal % 47.6% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 49.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.5 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 18.6 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 23.3
Free Throw % 83.5% 78.0%
Ball Control LAC MIL
Rebounds 48.2 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.8
Turnovers 10.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.4
Steals 6.4 6.0
Fouls 17.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MIL
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 100.8
% of Possessions with LAC MIL
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 33.7%
Player Fouled 17.1% 16.9%
Turnover 10.4% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MIL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 22.4%