NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MIL
Points 115.4 115.3
Total Points   230.7
Points From 2-Pointers 58.7 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 42.4
Points From Free Throws 18.4 18.0
Shooting LAC MIL
Field Goals Made 42.1 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 87.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 49.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 38.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 18.4 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 23.1
Free Throw % 83.1% 78.1%
Ball Control LAC MIL
Rebounds 48.1 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.9
Turnovers 10.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.4
Steals 6.4 6.1
Fouls 17.2 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MIL
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 100.8
% of Possessions with LAC MIL
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 33.6%
Player Fouled 17.2% 17.0%
Turnover 10.4% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MIL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 22.6%