NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC MIA
Points 110.0 107.9
Total Points   217.9
Points From 2-Pointers 55.4 52.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 37.3
Points From Free Throws 16.9 17.8
Shooting LAC MIA
Field Goals Made 40.3 38.8
Field Goals Attempted 83.2 85.2
Field Goal % 48.4% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 48.6 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 16.9 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.7
Free Throw % 83.0% 81.9%
Ball Control LAC MIA
Rebounds 47.2 45.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.8
Turnovers 12.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.1
Steals 6.0 6.8
Fouls 17.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC MIA
Total Possessions 97.9
Effective Scoring Chances 95.5 97.8
% of Possessions with LAC MIA
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 31.1%
Player Fouled 16.3% 17.4%
Turnover 12.5% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC MIA
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 22.5%