NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC CHA
Points 117.3 105.8
Total Points   223.1
Points From 2-Pointers 59.8 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 40.2 37.1
Points From Free Throws 17.3 14.5
Shooting LAC CHA
Field Goals Made 43.3 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 85.2 86.5
Field Goal % 50.8% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.9 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 18.4
Free Throw % 83.1% 78.9%
Ball Control LAC CHA
Rebounds 49.5 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.4
Turnovers 12.3 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.2
Steals 6.5 6.3
Fouls 15.8 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC CHA
Total Possessions 98.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 97.2
% of Possessions with LAC CHA
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.0%
Turnover 12.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC CHA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 21.2%