NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC LAL
Points 116.0 114.9
Total Points   230.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 61.6
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 35.1
Points From Free Throws 15.5 18.1
Shooting LAC LAL
Field Goals Made 43.4 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 85.7
Field Goal % 48.0% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 15.5 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 23.4
Free Throw % 83.1% 77.5%
Ball Control LAC LAL
Rebounds 47.8 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.5
Turnovers 11.7 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 7.4 6.5
Fouls 17.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC LAL
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 99.2
% of Possessions with LAC LAL
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 27.9%
Player Fouled 13.8% 17.4%
Turnover 11.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC LAL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 20.7%