NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC ORL
Points 107.9 108.0
Total Points   216.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.2 56.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.4 32.9
Points From Free Throws 19.4 19.0
Shooting LAC ORL
Field Goals Made 38.9 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 81.3 84.2
Field Goal % 47.9% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.5 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 19.4 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 24.9
Free Throw % 83.0% 76.1%
Ball Control LAC ORL
Rebounds 44.9 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.0
Turnovers 13.6 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.9
Steals 7.4 7.5
Fouls 18.9 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC ORL
Total Possessions 98.7
Effective Scoring Chances 94.8 99.2
% of Possessions with LAC ORL
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 27.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 19.1%
Turnover 13.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC ORL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 26.9%