NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC DEN
Points 110.8 113.5
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 63.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.6 34.5
Points From Free Throws 18.8 15.7
Shooting LAC DEN
Field Goals Made 40.6 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.3 88.7
Field Goal % 47.0% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 56.3 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.1 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 18.8 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 20.3
Free Throw % 83.0% 77.4%
Ball Control LAC DEN
Rebounds 46.4 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.8
Turnovers 10.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.2
Steals 6.2 6.3
Fouls 16.3 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC DEN
Total Possessions 98.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 100.6
% of Possessions with LAC DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 28.1%
Player Fouled 16.5% 16.6%
Turnover 10.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC DEN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 26.9%