NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC DEN
Points 111.0 109.4
Total Points   220.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.8 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.1 34.9
Points From Free Throws 21.1 17.8
Shooting LAC DEN
Field Goals Made 38.9 39.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.1 85.6
Field Goal % 46.8% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.9 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 21.1 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 22.3
Free Throw % 79.8% 79.9%
Ball Control LAC DEN
Rebounds 47.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.2
Turnovers 12.3 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.2
Steals 6.6 6.2
Fouls 20.2 20.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC DEN
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 99.0
% of Possessions with LAC DEN
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 28.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 20.1%
Turnover 12.2% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC DEN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 23.3%