NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC NO
Points 112.0 112.3
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 58.7
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 36.3
Points From Free Throws 17.9 17.3
Shooting LAC NO
Field Goals Made 40.5 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.3 87.2
Field Goal % 48.0% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 48.3 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 17.9 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 22.2
Free Throw % 83.4% 77.6%
Ball Control LAC NO
Rebounds 46.4 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.1
Turnovers 12.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.4
Steals 6.0 7.4
Fouls 16.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC NO
Total Possessions 99.1
Effective Scoring Chances 96.9 100.1
% of Possessions with LAC NO
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 28.9%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.4%
Turnover 12.7% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC NO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 25.2%