NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC TOR
Points 122.3 110.6
Total Points   232.9
Points From 2-Pointers 64.3 59.6
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 34.3
Points From Free Throws 17.5 16.7
Shooting LAC TOR
Field Goals Made 45.6 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 89.6
Field Goal % 51.6% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.5% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 17.5 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 21.8
Free Throw % 83.1% 76.6%
Ball Control LAC TOR
Rebounds 49.9 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 12.7
Turnovers 12.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.4
Steals 6.7 7.1
Fouls 16.2 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC TOR
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 102.1
% of Possessions with LAC TOR
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 28.7%
Player Fouled 16.5% 16.0%
Turnover 12.3% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC TOR
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 25.1%