NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC TOR
Points 122.3 110.6
Total Points   232.9
Points From 2-Pointers 64.5 59.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.1 34.6
Points From Free Throws 17.7 16.7
Shooting LAC TOR
Field Goals Made 45.6 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 89.7
Field Goal % 51.4% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.5% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 17.7 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 21.8
Free Throw % 83.5% 76.6%
Ball Control LAC TOR
Rebounds 50.3 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 32.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 12.6
Turnovers 12.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.3
Steals 6.7 7.0
Fouls 16.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC TOR
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 102.1
% of Possessions with LAC TOR
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 16.5% 15.8%
Turnover 12.2% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC TOR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 24.8%