NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC HOU
Points 116.4 113.6
Total Points   230.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 38.5
Points From Free Throws 21.8 18.5
Shooting LAC HOU
Field Goals Made 41.3 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 85.0 90.9
Field Goal % 48.5% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 21.8 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 24.1
Free Throw % 83.0% 76.8%
Ball Control LAC HOU
Rebounds 49.6 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 14.2
Turnovers 12.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.5
Steals 6.5 7.0
Fouls 17.6 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC HOU
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 104.9
% of Possessions with LAC HOU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 31.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.4%
Turnover 12.1% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC HOU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.1%