NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC PHO
Points 112.9 113.9
Total Points   226.8
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 58.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.5 37.5
Points From Free Throws 18.1 18.4
Shooting LAC PHO
Field Goals Made 41.0 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 85.6
Field Goal % 46.2% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 18.1 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 22.8
Free Throw % 83.5% 80.7%
Ball Control LAC PHO
Rebounds 46.3 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.9
Turnovers 11.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.2
Steals 7.8 6.6
Fouls 17.3 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC PHO
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 99.3
% of Possessions with LAC PHO
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 28.9%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.3%
Turnover 11.1% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC PHO
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 25.7%