NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC POR
Points 118.7 106.5
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 63.7 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 34.5
Points From Free Throws 20.9 16.4
Shooting LAC POR
Field Goals Made 43.2 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 90.3
Field Goal % 51.5% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.9 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.6% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 20.9 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 20.7
Free Throw % 83.5% 79.4%
Ball Control LAC POR
Rebounds 48.4 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 15.3
Turnovers 12.3 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.1
Steals 8.0 6.7
Fouls 15.6 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC POR
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 102.6
% of Possessions with LAC POR
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 28.2%
Player Fouled 18.2% 15.6%
Turnover 12.3% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC POR
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 29.1%