NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC GS
Points 116.0 116.1
Total Points   232.2
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 40.1 44.2
Points From Free Throws 18.8 15.5
Shooting LAC GS
Field Goals Made 41.9 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 91.3
Field Goal % 47.5% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.3 38.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 18.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 19.9
Free Throw % 83.5% 77.7%
Ball Control LAC GS
Rebounds 47.9 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 14.2
Turnovers 11.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.6
Steals 7.0 6.2
Fouls 15.5 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC GS
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 103.2
% of Possessions with LAC GS
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 33.1%
Player Fouled 16.9% 15.3%
Turnover 11.2% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC GS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 28.3%