NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC WAS
Points 123.2 111.7
Total Points   234.9
Points From 2-Pointers 67.9 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 37.2
Points From Free Throws 21.0 15.6
Shooting LAC WAS
Field Goals Made 45.4 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 90.6
Field Goal % 51.3% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 33.9 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.4 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.1% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 21.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 20.3
Free Throw % 83.4% 76.8%
Ball Control LAC WAS
Rebounds 52.3 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.6
Turnovers 12.1 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.6
Steals 7.3 6.7
Fouls 16.2 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC WAS
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 101.9
% of Possessions with LAC WAS
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 30.8%
Player Fouled 17.5% 15.7%
Turnover 11.8% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC WAS
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 20.9%