NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM MIL
Points 107.1 117.9
Total Points   224.9
Points From 2-Pointers 51.0 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 44.5
Points From Free Throws 16.6 18.6
Shooting MEM MIL
Field Goals Made 38.6 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 86.1
Field Goal % 42.8% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 47.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 38.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 16.6 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 23.9
Free Throw % 76.6% 78.1%
Ball Control MEM MIL
Rebounds 48.2 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 41.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 10.5
Turnovers 11.9 12.9
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.8
Steals 7.1 6.7
Fouls 17.6 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM MIL
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 99.8
% of Possessions with MEM MIL
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 33.7%
Player Fouled 17.0% 17.2%
Turnover 11.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM MIL
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 22.6%