NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM CLE
Points 103.6 112.1
Total Points   215.7
Points From 2-Pointers 49.0 54.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 41.6
Points From Free Throws 16.1 16.0
Shooting MEM CLE
Field Goals Made 37.3 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 85.3
Field Goal % 43.3% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.5 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.0 48.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 37.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 16.1 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 21.1
Free Throw % 76.6% 75.9%
Ball Control MEM CLE
Rebounds 47.9 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 10.9
Turnovers 13.7 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.9 5.7
Steals 7.7 7.3
Fouls 17.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM CLE
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 97.3
% of Possessions with MEM CLE
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 32.9%
Player Fouled 16.0% 17.4%
Turnover 13.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM CLE
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 23.5%