NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM ATL
Points 114.6 117.9
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 43.0 43.1
Points From Free Throws 17.1 18.8
Shooting MEM ATL
Field Goals Made 41.6 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 89.9
Field Goal % 46.9% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 17.1 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 24.0
Free Throw % 76.6% 78.3%
Ball Control MEM ATL
Rebounds 48.3 51.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 13.9
Turnovers 14.1 13.5
Blocked Shots 6.6 5.6
Steals 7.8 7.3
Fouls 17.5 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM ATL
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 103.8
% of Possessions with MEM ATL
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 31.7%
Player Fouled 16.5% 16.9%
Turnover 13.6% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM ATL
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 27.9%