NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM SAC
Points 106.3 117.1
Total Points   223.4
Points From 2-Pointers 48.8 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 44.7
Points From Free Throws 17.9 16.2
Shooting MEM SAC
Field Goals Made 37.6 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 88.9
Field Goal % 44.1% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 24.4 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 49.4 49.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 39.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 17.9 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 21.7
Free Throw % 76.6% 74.6%
Ball Control MEM SAC
Rebounds 46.9 51.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 12.7
Turnovers 14.3 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.9 5.6
Steals 7.5 7.9
Fouls 16.8 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM SAC
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 101.8
% of Possessions with MEM SAC
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 33.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 16.5%
Turnover 14.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM SAC
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 26.2%