NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM NY
Points 104.7 114.3
Total Points   219.0
Points From 2-Pointers 50.0 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.7 41.8
Points From Free Throws 16.0 17.8
Shooting MEM NY
Field Goals Made 37.9 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 87.7
Field Goal % 44.2% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.0 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 51.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 36.9 36.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 16.0 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 22.9
Free Throw % 76.6% 78.0%
Ball Control MEM NY
Rebounds 46.1 52.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 15.1
Turnovers 13.6 13.0
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.5
Steals 6.7 7.5
Fouls 17.1 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM NY
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.1 101.1
% of Possessions with MEM NY
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 31.2%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.3%
Turnover 13.7% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM NY
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 31.2%