NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM LAL
Points 108.0 117.5
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 51.7 61.7
Points From 3-Pointers 42.3 36.9
Points From Free Throws 14.0 18.9
Shooting MEM LAL
Field Goals Made 39.9 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 92.7 84.3
Field Goal % 43.1% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.9 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 14.0 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 24.3
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.6%
Ball Control MEM LAL
Rebounds 48.0 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 41.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 9.0
Turnovers 13.2 14.1
Blocked Shots 5.8 6.2
Steals 8.2 7.1
Fouls 18.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM LAL
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 98.0
% of Possessions with MEM LAL
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 27.7%
Player Fouled 13.7% 17.7%
Turnover 12.8% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM LAL
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 20.7%