NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM DET
Points 111.4 110.3
Total Points   221.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 57.0
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 35.4
Points From Free Throws 18.7 17.9
Shooting MEM DET
Field Goals Made 40.3 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 86.4
Field Goal % 46.1% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 32.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 18.7 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 22.9
Free Throw % 76.6% 78.3%
Ball Control MEM DET
Rebounds 47.8 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.9
Turnovers 13.0 15.1
Blocked Shots 7.1 5.7
Steals 9.0 6.8
Fouls 16.2 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM DET
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 99.3
% of Possessions with MEM DET
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 27.9%
Player Fouled 17.9% 15.8%
Turnover 12.6% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM DET
Shot Blocked 6.7% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 24.7%