NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM SA
Points 107.6 113.3
Total Points   220.9
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 39.8
Points From Free Throws 15.4 16.0
Shooting MEM SA
Field Goals Made 39.8 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 92.0 88.2
Field Goal % 43.3% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 56.3 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 35.7 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 15.4 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 20.6
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.6%
Ball Control MEM SA
Rebounds 49.1 52.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 41.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 11.9
Turnovers 13.4 15.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 7.8
Steals 9.1 7.0
Fouls 16.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM SA
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.9 100.3
% of Possessions with MEM SA
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 31.1%
Player Fouled 14.7% 15.7%
Turnover 13.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM SA
Shot Blocked 9.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 24.7%