NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM MIN
Points 98.9 114.0
Total Points   213.0
Points From 2-Pointers 45.8 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 39.8
Points From Free Throws 17.7 18.9
Shooting MEM MIN
Field Goals Made 34.7 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 82.9
Field Goal % 40.5% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 49.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 17.7 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 24.3
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.8%
Ball Control MEM MIN
Rebounds 46.1 51.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.6 40.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.0
Turnovers 14.5 14.5
Blocked Shots 5.1 7.3
Steals 7.8 7.9
Fouls 18.8 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM MIN
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 98.8 97.2
% of Possessions with MEM MIN
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 29.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 18.7%
Turnover 14.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM MIN
Shot Blocked 8.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 24.7%