NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM WAS
Points 114.5 113.8
Total Points   228.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.7 58.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 39.0
Points From Free Throws 18.9 16.2
Shooting MEM WAS
Field Goals Made 41.8 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.7 89.3
Field Goal % 46.1% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.9 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 21.1
Free Throw % 76.6% 76.8%
Ball Control MEM WAS
Rebounds 52.8 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 10.4
Turnovers 13.8 14.3
Blocked Shots 7.5 6.1
Steals 8.2 7.4
Fouls 16.7 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM WAS
Total Possessions 104.7
Effective Scoring Chances 105.1 100.8
% of Possessions with MEM WAS
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 30.8%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.0%
Turnover 13.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM WAS
Shot Blocked 7.0% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 21.2%