NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL CHI
Points 117.9 121.5
Total Points   239.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.8 66.0
Points From 3-Pointers 46.1 38.4
Points From Free Throws 19.1 17.2
Shooting ATL CHI
Field Goals Made 41.7 45.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 90.5
Field Goal % 46.8% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 33.0
2 Pointers Attempted 48.0 57.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.4 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 41.1 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 19.1 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 21.7
Free Throw % 78.3% 79.2%
Ball Control ATL CHI
Rebounds 48.1 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 11.7
Turnovers 12.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.3
Steals 6.1 7.3
Fouls 16.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL CHI
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 103.2
% of Possessions with ATL CHI
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 28.6%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.3%
Turnover 12.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL CHI
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 25.0%