NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL LAC
Points 115.4 123.1
Total Points   238.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 62.8
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 41.2
Points From Free Throws 18.2 19.1
Shooting ATL LAC
Field Goals Made 41.8 45.1
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 86.8
Field Goal % 45.8% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 52.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 37.6 34.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 18.2 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 22.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 83.4%
Ball Control ATL LAC
Rebounds 47.0 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 32.7 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 10.7
Turnovers 11.3 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.1
Steals 6.7 6.9
Fouls 17.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL LAC
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 104.9 100.2
% of Possessions with ATL LAC
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 29.7%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.7%
Turnover 11.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL LAC
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 24.7%