NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL CHA
Points 119.3 114.9
Total Points   234.2
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 59.3
Points From 3-Pointers 43.3 40.6
Points From Free Throws 17.2 15.0
Shooting ATL CHA
Field Goals Made 43.9 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 87.2
Field Goal % 48.7% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 38.6 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 17.2 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 19.1
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.9%
Ball Control ATL CHA
Rebounds 50.0 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 9.4
Turnovers 12.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.6
Steals 6.4 6.4
Fouls 16.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL CHA
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.1 98.4
% of Possessions with ATL CHA
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.0% 15.8%
Turnover 12.1% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL CHA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 20.5%