NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL UTA
Points 125.1 124.0
Total Points   249.1
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 62.6
Points From 3-Pointers 47.2 41.7
Points From Free Throws 18.5 19.7
Shooting ATL UTA
Field Goals Made 45.4 45.2
Field Goals Attempted 94.2 89.1
Field Goal % 48.2% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 31.3
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 15.7 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 39.6 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 18.5 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 23.6
Free Throw % 78.3% 83.7%
Ball Control ATL UTA
Rebounds 46.7 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 12.9
Turnovers 10.8 14.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.7
Steals 7.5 5.8
Fouls 17.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL UTA
Total Possessions 104.3
Effective Scoring Chances 107.6 103.0
% of Possessions with ATL UTA
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 30.8%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.4%
Turnover 10.3% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL UTA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 28.3%