NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL NY
Points 114.9 121.5
Total Points   236.4
Points From 2-Pointers 56.9 60.2
Points From 3-Pointers 40.4 43.5
Points From Free Throws 17.6 17.8
Shooting ATL NY
Field Goals Made 41.9 44.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 89.4
Field Goal % 47.1% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.2 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 14.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.7 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 17.6 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.8
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.0%
Ball Control ATL NY
Rebounds 46.4 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 14.2
Turnovers 12.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 5.9 7.0
Fouls 17.0 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL NY
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 103.1
% of Possessions with ATL NY
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 31.3%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.9%
Turnover 11.9% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL NY
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 30.1%