NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL LAL
Points 118.1 125.2
Total Points   243.2
Points From 2-Pointers 58.5 67.7
Points From 3-Pointers 44.1 38.7
Points From Free Throws 15.4 18.8
Shooting ATL LAL
Field Goals Made 44.0 46.7
Field Goals Attempted 95.7 86.4
Field Goal % 45.9% 54.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 33.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.1 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 62.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 39.6 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 40.1%
Free Throws Made 15.4 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 24.3
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.5%
Ball Control ATL LAL
Rebounds 48.0 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.1 39.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 8.5
Turnovers 11.7 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.3
Steals 7.2 6.6
Fouls 17.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL LAL
Total Possessions 104.9
Effective Scoring Chances 107.1 100.5
% of Possessions with ATL LAL
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 27.9%
Player Fouled 13.6% 17.1%
Turnover 11.2% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL LAL
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 20.0%