NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL DEN
Points 113.0 123.0
Total Points   235.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.0 69.0
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 37.9
Points From Free Throws 18.5 16.1
Shooting ATL DEN
Field Goals Made 41.3 47.1
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 89.3
Field Goal % 45.3% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 34.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.5 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 18.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 20.8
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.4%
Ball Control ATL DEN
Rebounds 46.9 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 11.5
Turnovers 10.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.8
Steals 6.2 6.4
Fouls 16.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL DEN
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 101.5
% of Possessions with ATL DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 28.1%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.3%
Turnover 10.6% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL DEN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 25.7%