NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIA PHI
Points 107.4 108.6
Total Points   216.0
Points From 2-Pointers 52.8 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 37.2
Points From Free Throws 19.6 17.7
Shooting MIA PHI
Field Goals Made 38.1 39.2
Field Goals Attempted 83.6 85.5
Field Goal % 45.5% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 49.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 19.6 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 21.6
Free Throw % 81.9% 82.1%
Ball Control MIA PHI
Rebounds 48.0 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.9
Turnovers 12.0 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.6
Steals 5.7 6.3
Fouls 15.6 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIA PHI
Total Possessions 98.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.2 98.1
% of Possessions with MIA PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 32.1%
Player Fouled 18.9% 15.8%
Turnover 12.2% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIA PHI
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 22.7%