NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA CHI
Points 107.9 115.8
Total Points   223.7
Points From 2-Pointers 51.0 63.2
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 36.9
Points From Free Throws 15.2 15.7
Shooting CHA CHI
Field Goals Made 39.4 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 88.8
Field Goal % 46.4% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 46.5 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 15.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 19.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 79.2%
Ball Control CHA CHI
Rebounds 44.1 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.2
Turnovers 12.9 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.4
Steals 5.7 6.9
Fouls 15.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA CHI
Total Possessions 99.6
Effective Scoring Chances 96.1 100.6
% of Possessions with CHA CHI
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 29.6%
Player Fouled 16.4% 15.9%
Turnover 13.0% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA CHI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 25.9%