NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA BOS
Points 100.6 121.5
Total Points   222.1
Points From 2-Pointers 51.4 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.9 52.2
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.9
Shooting CHA BOS
Field Goals Made 38.3 44.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 88.6
Field Goal % 42.5% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.5 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 17.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 43.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 18.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 79.0%
Ball Control CHA BOS
Rebounds 44.4 54.3
Rebounds - Defensive 34.0 42.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.0
Turnovers 11.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.7
Steals 5.1 6.0
Fouls 14.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA BOS
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 100.0
% of Possessions with CHA BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 38.9%
Player Fouled 13.7% 14.7%
Turnover 11.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA BOS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 26.0%