NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA NY
Points 105.1 116.0
Total Points   221.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 57.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 42.2
Points From Free Throws 14.0 16.2
Shooting CHA NY
Field Goals Made 39.4 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 84.4 87.9
Field Goal % 46.7% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 37.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 14.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 20.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 78.0%
Ball Control CHA NY
Rebounds 42.2 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 14.7
Turnovers 12.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.0
Steals 5.5 6.5
Fouls 15.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA NY
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 94.8 100.6
% of Possessions with CHA NY
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 32.4%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.3%
Turnover 12.8% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA NY
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 31.1%