NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA ORL
Points 100.8 111.3
Total Points   212.1
Points From 2-Pointers 53.5 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 32.1 35.0
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.7
Shooting CHA ORL
Field Goals Made 37.5 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 81.9 83.2
Field Goal % 45.7% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.8 50.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 23.3
Free Throw % 78.9% 76.1%
Ball Control CHA ORL
Rebounds 41.6 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 33.2 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 12.0
Turnovers 14.2 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.6
Steals 7.0 7.2
Fouls 17.9 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA ORL
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 93.0 97.4
% of Possessions with CHA ORL
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 29.0%
Player Fouled 17.3% 18.1%
Turnover 14.4% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA ORL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 26.6%