NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA DAL
Points 105.4 118.2
Total Points   223.6
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 57.5
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 44.4
Points From Free Throws 14.9 16.3
Shooting CHA DAL
Field Goals Made 39.0 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 86.8
Field Goal % 44.8% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 47.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 39.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 21.7
Free Throw % 78.9% 75.3%
Ball Control CHA DAL
Rebounds 45.2 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 39.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.9
Turnovers 12.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.7
Steals 6.2 6.0
Fouls 17.6 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA DAL
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 99.8
% of Possessions with CHA DAL
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 35.1%
Player Fouled 15.8% 17.5%
Turnover 12.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA DAL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 23.7%